Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.012026 2.305899 2.629141 3.011300 3.451108 3.941800 4.531362
2025-08-03 1.616645 2.005972 2.470204 3.065516 3.810177 4.712901 5.893428
2025-08-10 1.289042 1.710805 2.249373 2.989618 3.984165 5.279171 7.101724
2025-08-17 1.027968 1.446202 2.012979 2.840583 4.024293 5.665589 8.130324
2025-08-24 0.867083 1.284871 1.881887 2.802211 4.194720 6.238187 9.492750
2025-08-31 0.740163 1.149025 1.761773 2.753623 4.332626 6.772003 10.870788
2025-09-07 0.675870 1.095405 1.752528 2.865673 4.723890 7.736142 13.058652
2025-09-14 0.606819 1.022848 1.701249 2.899240 4.988076 8.527424 15.078601
2025-09-21 0.537360 0.938953 1.618476 2.865299 5.128427 9.123452 16.843953
2025-09-28 0.468594 0.846362 1.507721 2.764928 5.133431 9.476513 18.213512
2025-10-05 0.445488 0.831353 1.530007 2.905486 5.594320 10.714862 21.436949
2025-10-12 0.423150 0.814446 1.545867 3.034563 6.048778 11.999690 24.946964
2025-10-19 0.397587 0.790001 1.548017 3.144849 6.497906 13.370368 28.931133
2025-10-26 0.366700 0.751134 1.517449 3.185909 6.814117 14.523567 32.665015
2025-11-02 0.326679 0.688419 1.430983 3.098449 6.845479 15.081898 35.180074
2025-11-09 0.285429 0.617682 1.318740 2.939326 6.695205 15.219079 36.744771
2025-11-16 0.259233 0.575978 1.262834 2.897108 6.803170 15.955444 39.876387
2025-11-23 0.235381 0.536365 1.206382 2.845466 6.880953 16.632249 42.980447
2025-11-30 0.225979 0.528414 1.219969 2.960593 7.378643 18.398164 49.212116
2025-12-07 0.211913 0.507709 1.201384 2.994864 7.680032 19.721759 54.508175
2025-12-14 0.194957 0.477901 1.157437 2.959520 7.797226 20.589874 58.706749
2025-12-21 0.175875 0.440493 1.090406 2.855608 7.717665 20.924906 61.446511
2025-12-28 0.171842 0.440507 1.116540 3.000856 8.337810 23.264892 70.548147